By Election 2018: Federal Seat of Longman Profile
Longman
Caboolture and Southern Sunshine Coast
Safe LNP 6.9%
MP
Wyatt Roy (LNP) since gaining this seat from Labor at the 2010 election.
Profile
The Division of Longman is a predominantly urban and situated to the north of Brisbane and covers much of the Moreton Bay Region, including the former Caboolture Shire and some of the former Pine Rivers. It includes the towns of Beachmere, Bribie Island, Burpengary, Dakabin, Donnybrook, Kallangur, Ningi, Toorbul, Caboolture, Morayfield, Wamuran, Woodford and Narangba.
Covers 1,239 square kilometres.
Background
Longman was created in 1996 and named after Mrs Irene Longman, who was the first woman elected to the Queensland Parliament, holding the seat of Bulimba 1929-32.
Longman was won at its first contest by the Liberal Party’s Mal Brough. He retained the seat through numerous boundary changes and rose to serve as Minister for Families, Community Services and Indigenous Services in the final term of the Howard government, being responsible for implementing the intervention into Northern Territory indigenous communities.
At the 2004 election, the Coalition’s campaign against Mark Latham on interest rates paid dividends in seats like Longman as Brough took his margin out into double figures. However, a redistribution and a 10.3% swing in 2007 revealed the true marginal seat status of Longman, Brough becoming the highest profile ministerial defeat of the election, apart from John Howard’s own defeat in Bennelong. Brough was to return as member for Fisher at the 2013 election but retires again in 2016.
Longman was won by Labor’s Jon Sullivan in 2007, a former state MP whose wife represented a local state seat while Sullivan served as Federal MP. Sullivan received some advantage in 2010 with the LNP pre-selection of the youthful Wyatt Roy as its candidate, but this advantage was nullified by bad headlines concerning a dispute between Sullivan and a constituent at a public forum. Roy won the seat, but the swing to the LNP of 3.8% was below the state average. That was rectified with a further 5% swing to Roy in 2013.
In 2016 Susan Lamb, has been the incumbant for the Labor Party which in the end the seat had a margin of 0.79 following the election which is one of the most marginal federal electorates.
Susan Lamb resigned due to a court ruling indicating that her citizenship status at election was deemed have made her ineligible to sit in parliament.
For this By Election Susan Lamb has since had her UK citizenship revoked.
Opinion Polls
10 May 2018 a ReachTEL poll conducted a poll of 1277.
The Result of that poll on primary vote ALP (32.5%), LNP (36.7%), One Nation (15.1%), Greens (4.9%), Other (6.4%), Undecided (4.5%) which translated on two Party preferred ALP (47%) LNP (53%)
2 June 2018 ReachTel Poll conducted a poll of 836.
The result of that poll on primary vote ALP (35%), LNP (38%), Greens (2%), Other (14%), Undecided (11%) which translated on two party preferred ALP (48%) LNP (52%). A second question was asked on company tax cuts were found to be unusually strong support, with 58% in favour and 33% opposed. Note: One Nation result was not given by ReachTEL
The candidates:
Susan Lamb (Labor)
National & State Links:
Australia Labor Party Website, Australian Labor Party Wikipedia Entry,Australian Labor Party Facebook ,
Queensland Labor Party Website, Queensland Labor Party Wikipedia Entry, Queensland Labor Party Facebook,
Queensland Labor Party Twitter,
Candidate Profile:
43-year-old Lamb was a teacher aide before becoming a lead organiser with United Voice in 2012. She lives in Dakabin.
Susan has lived in Longman for more than 26 years. She has raised her family of four sons here and been involved in local primary schools, high schools, community and sporting clubs. Before entering parliament Susan worked in a national role advocating for professional recognition for early childhood educators with United Voice Union.
Susan and her family have a history of work in the hospitality, manufacturing and building industries. She knows and understands how important a safe, secure and well paid job is for every family. Her family’s involvement in small business also means Susan understands the importance of giving small businesses the opportunity to build and grow, so that they can deliver high quality local jobs and opportunities for our community.
Susan spent 10 years as a teacher aide and knows the importance of high quality education and the foundation it lays for the future of our children. As a mother of two university students, one VET student and one secondary school student Susan knows the challenges students face today.
Matthew Stephen (One Nation Party)
National & State Links:
Party Website http://www.onenation.com.au/,
Candidate Profile:
Matthew Stephen previously ran as the One Nation candidate for the Queensland State Seat of Sandgate at the 2017 State Election, which drew some controversy due to racist and homophobic tweets that were revealed to had been made on social media. He is a businessman and a Caboolture local.
Matthew Stephen Election Facebook page
Trevor Ruthenberg (LNP)
National and State Links:
Liberal Party of Australia Website, Liberal Party of Australia Wikipedia Entry,
Liberal Party of Australia Facebook site , LNP Website, LNP Twitter account, LNP Facebook , LNP Wikipedia Entry,
Candidate Profile:
Trevor Ruthenberg says he will be campaigning on problems that Susan Lamb and Labor have ignored and won’t talk about:
- Dealing with local crime
- Fixing road congestion in our area
- Working to create local jobs – especially in traditional trades and services
Just to let you know a bit about me:
I served for six years in the ADF, where I trained as an aeronautical ground engineer before working overseas in the automation industry. I came home and started working in the community sector, first for the Lutheran Church and later as the General Manager of Scouts Queensland. Between 2012 and 2015 I served as the State Member for Kallangur where I got a new school built and lowered the cost of living pressure felt by local families. I’m currently the CEO of Mosaic Foundation, a new not-for profit that raises money for, and supports, other charities.
There will be a very clear choice for voters, the LNP that manages the economy responsibly for the benefit of all Australians, or Labor – who don’t govern within their means and have to rely on imposing higher taxes, and taking more income from the self-funded retirees who live in our community.
Trevor Ruthenberg Election Facebook Page, the public can Email Trevor Ruthenberg or phone his campaign number 0450 265 835
John Reece (Australian People’s Party)
National and State Links:
Australian Peoples Party, Candidates for the Federal By Elections
Candidate Profile:
John was born in Lowood, QLD. He is the father of two children. Schooled at Maryborough Boys High, he completed a fitter and turner trade at Walkers’ Maryborough and was a fully qualified tradesman by the age of 20. He has worked as a fitter in many industries and sales, eventually working his way up to QLD manager.
John’s hobbies include restoring and racing Mini Coopers. He was an independent candidate for the Longman electorate in 2010. John grew up in the 50’s and 60’s, when Australia was the best country in the world to live in. Since the 70’s, politicians of all parties have been gradually destroying Australia. His aim is to bring back 50’s and 60’s for future generations.
He is hoping to give Australia a new start and bring Australia back to Australians!
Voters wishing to contact John can do so on 0470232221 or via email austpeoplesparty@gmail.com
John’s Profile on the Party website
The Division of Longman is an Australian Electoral Division in Queensland. The division was first proclaimed in 1994. The division is named after Irene Longman, the first female member of the Parliament of Queensland and the third woman elected to a parliament in Australia.
Entering parliament at the age of 20, Longman’s current representative, Wyatt Roy for the Liberal-National Party, was at election Australia’s youngest ever parliamentarian.
The Electoral Boundaries
Longman covers much of the Moreton Bay Region, including the former Caboolture Shire and some of the former Pine Rivers.
The Division of Longman is a predominantly urban and situated to the north of Brisbane and covers much of the Moreton Bay Region, including the former Caboolture Shire and some of the former Pine Rivers. It includes the towns of Beachmere, Bribie Island, Burpengary, Dakabin, Donnybrook, Kallangur, Ningi, Toorbul, Caboolture, Morayfield, Wamuran, Woodford and Narangba.
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Prior Members to represent this seat in the Federal House Of Representatives
Mal Brough (Liberal) from 1996-2007
John Sullivan (Labor) from 2007-2010
Wyatt Roy (LNP) 2010-2016
Susan Lamb (Labor) 2016-2018.
Election results
Electoral results for the Division of Longman
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal National | Wyatt Roy | 34,359 | 39.01 | −5.83 | |
| Labor | Susan Lamb | 31,161 | 35.38 | +4.73 | |
| One Nation | Michelle Pedersen | 8,293 | 9.42 | +9.42 | |
| Greens | Ian Bell | 3,865 | 4.39 | +0.45 | |
| Family First | Will Smith | 3,002 | 3.41 | +1.05 | |
| Drug Law Reform | Frances McDonald | 2,677 | 3.04 | +3.04 | |
| Katter’s Australian | Brad Kennedy | 1,597 | 1.81 | −1.01 | |
| Independent | Greg Riddell | 1,111 | 1.26 | +1.26 | |
| Independent | Rob Law | 945 | 1.07 | +1.07 | |
| Caleb Wells | 830 | 0.94 | −0.13 | ||
| Arts | Stephen Beck | 228 | 0.26 | +0.26 | |
| Total formal votes | 88,068 | 91.47 | −3.46 | ||
| Informal votes | 8,217 | 8.53 | +3.46 | ||
| Turnout | 96,285 | 91.60 | −2.25 | ||
| Two-party-preferred result | |||||
| Labor | Susan Lamb | 44,729 | 50.79 | +7.71 | |
| Liberal National | Wyatt Roy | 43,339 | 49.21 | −7.71 | |
| Labor gain from Liberal National | Swing | +7.71 | |||
- State/Territory:
- Queensland
- Status:
- Current, boundary gazetted 15 December 2009
- AEC Divisional Office:
- Divisional Office contact details
- Maps & GIS data:
- A4 map of the Division of Longman (2009) [PDF 717KB]
Map of the Division of Longman (2009) [PDF 3MB]
Download GIS data - Name derivation:
- Named after Irene Longman (1877–1964), first female member of the Queensland Parliament 1929–1932, and third woman elected to a parliament in Australia.
- Area and Location Description:
- Longman covers an area of approximately 1 239 sq km covering part of the local government area of Moreton Bay Regional Council. Suburbs and towns include Beachmere, Bribie Island, part of Burpengary, Caboolture, Dakabin, Donnybrook, part of Kallangur, Morayfield, Mount Mee, Narangba, Ningi, Toorbul and Woodford.
- Products/industries of the area:
- Tourism, light industry, beef cattle, horse studs, prawn farming, poultry farms, pig farming, and various crops including grains, pineapples, fruit and flower farms.
- First proclaimed/election:
- 1994/1996
- Demographic rating:
- Provincial
- Current member details:
- Please refer to the Parliament of Australia website
- Further information:
- 2016 federal election – House of Representatives results for Longman
- 2013 federal election – House of Representatives results for Longman
2010 federal election – House of Representatives results for Longman
2007 federal election – House of Representatives results for Longman
2004 federal election – House of Representatives results for Longman
2013 divisional profile - For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status.
