Cyclone Alfred Emergency Information for Moreton Bay 07/03

Afternoon Forecast (Short) .. (11:59 am)

Audio Player

 

Issued at 5:03 pm AEST Friday 7 March 2025. Refer to latest Tropical Cyclone Advice.

Interview with Federal member for Longman Terry Young on keep calm with this storm and stay prepared

Audio Player

(Updated 5:19 pm)

Cyclone Alfred is currently building up again its Tropical Structure and tightening up its core.

Issued at 5:03 pm AEST Friday 7 March 2025. Refer to latest Tropical Cyclone Advice.

We Will update these pages in real time as conditions or details change.

It is essential you play your role in planning for emergencies for your self, your family, property, pets and livestock.

Current Summary:

Today Cyclone Alfred is now a tropical Cyclone again and tightening up its core cyclonic structure on four  quadrants of the system  wrapping the convection all around the system. and the warmer waters may assist have this process today.

The wind effects will start to concentrate on its centre as it strengthens however its rain effects will be felt well away from its centre.

The system is still on track to make landfall sometime very early Saturday now around 8 am around Redcliffe land as a Category 1 system, the winds will be felt as category 2 system on the exposed Gold Coast Coast line and both Moreton Island and North Stradbroke Island and Southern and Eastern side of Bribie Island

Friday Evening Exposed coast of Moreton Island and Stradbroke Island will get Gale Force Gusts of 100 km/h  winds (calmer stiff breeze for Brisbane / Caboolture region at 30/40 km/h winds. By 8 pm Gold Coast 120 Km/h brisbane 65-70 Km/h by 9pm/10pm/11pm 110 to 130 Km/h for Gold Coast/Stradbroke Island/Moreton Island 70-90km/h for East and Southern Bribie Island Inland Brisbane Strathpine Caboolture 50-60 Km/h

Later Saturday Morning Brisbane will begin to get 100 km/h as a Gust winds southerly wins, exposed Coastline of the Island will be 120 Km/h, The Islands will get a degradation of the cyclonic winds because the core starts to be impacted by the land mass of the islands which will be gradual .  the Ground in the landmasses will slow down the intensity of the winds

8-9 am As the cyclone is in Moreton Bay approaching land fall Brisbane will experience 50 Km/h winds and even less for Strathpine/Caboolture and Redcliffe 

Mid Day After the Cyclone makes landfall between Brisbane and Redcliffe.  Brisbane will have 80 km wins East / South East, Caboolture 30 km/h South West Sunshine Coast/ Bribie/ Redcliffe  30 km/h North West to  Northerly Winds

During the Afternoon post land crossing Light to Moderate rain will at first involve Brisbane and rapidly enter northern Suburbs, Strathpine Redcliffe Narangba Caboolture then further up to the Sunshine Coast all driven by strong Northerlies merging with Southerlies merging and squeezing the rain potential  per hour in to Saturday night and in to Sunday . However the Big Rains further south in Gold Coast and Hinterland and inland well above 100 to 150 mm per hour

 

Cyclone Overview and Current Status

Tropical Cyclone Alfred is currently classified as a Category 2 cyclone, tracking in a general westerly direction with potential shifts towards the northwest.
The cyclone’s structure has improved, resulting in more concentrated wind effects, especially closer to its center, which poses a risk to Brisbane and surrounding areas.
Wind speeds are expected to reach between 110 km/h to 130 km/h, particularly affecting regions from Surfers Paradise to Stradbroke Island during the cyclone’s approach.

Impact on Brisbane and Surrounding Areas

Brisbane is projected to experience wind impacts of up to 100 km/h as the cyclone moves over the region, with the potential for gusts reaching 120 km/h in exposed locations like Moreton Bay.
The cyclone’s center may pass directly over Brisbane, increasing the likelihood of marginal Category 1 impacts, while areas closer to the coast and to the south could face Category 2 winds.
Stradbroke Island and the northern sections of the Gold Coast are identified as the primary areas of concern for the most intense winds and potential damage.

Rainfall Predictions and Flooding Risks

Significant rainfall is expected after the cyclone crosses the coast, with the heaviest falls occurring well into Saturday night and into Sunday morning.
Areas along the coast and inland are likely to experience rainfall rates exceeding 50 mm per hour, leading to flash flooding risks, particularly in the Gold Coast and Brisbane regions.
The convergence of northerly and northeasterly winds post-cyclone is expected to exacerbate rainfall, especially in the hinterland areas where topography will enhance precipitation rates.

Wind Patterns and Precautions

The cyclone’s wind field is tightening, which will concentrate destructive winds closer to the cyclone’s core, potentially leading to unexpected wind gusts in coastal areas.
Residents are advised to prepare for intense wind gusts following the cyclone’s landfall, especially from a northeasterly direction, which could cause additional damage.
Authorities emphasize the importance of monitoring updates closely, as conditions can change rapidly, and preparation for both wind and heavy rainfall is crucial for safety.

Forecast for Inland Regions

Inland areas, such as Tumbal, Warick, and surrounding regions, will see heavier rainfall following the cyclone’s passage, with risks of significant flooding due to rapid water level rises.
Wind gusts in elevated areas may reach up to 110 km/h; however, sustained winds are expected to be lower.
The overall rainfall and wind intensity will diminish as the cyclone moves further inland, but significant weather impacts are still anticipated for the following days.

From The Bureau of Meteorology:

Issued at 10:02 pm AEST Friday 7 March 2025. Refer to latest Tropical Cyclone Advice.

 

Details of Tropical Cyclone Alfred 22U at 10:00 pm AEST:

Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 20 kilometres of 27.6 degrees South, 153.8 degrees East , 80 kilometres east of Brisbane and 65 kilometres northeast of Gold Coast .
Movement: northwest at 7 kilometres per hour .

Tropical Cyclone Alfred, category 2, is most likely to cross over the Moreton Bay Islands Saturday morning before crossing the mainland coast, between Maroochydore and Brisbane later during the day. Alfred is expected to weaken as it moves inland late Saturday and Sunday.

 

 

Evacuation Centers

City of Moreton Bay

Caboolture Memorial Hall, Caboolture

Strathpine Community Centre, Strathpine

Hope Centre Moreton, Rothwell

Sunshine Coast

Caloundra Indoor Stadium, Golden Beach

Landsborough Sports Complex

Nambour Showgrounds

 

 

Essential Weather links so you stay in the know: (all links will open in a new tab)

City of Moreton Bay Disaster Dashboard

Tides at Bongaree

BOM Inland River Heights

BOM Hazardous Surf Conditions for South East Queensland

BOM TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE

BOM Marine Wind Warning Summary for Queensland

BOM Flood Warning Summary

BOM Flood Watch for South East Queensland

 

Stay Safe and connected Non Weather Related useful Links(all links will open in a new tab)

Queensland Police – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Policelink – Non urgent matters – Ring 131 444

Queensland Ambulance – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Queensland Fire – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Energex Power Outages

School Closures

SEQ Dam Releases

Queensland Traffic Camera’s

 

General Advise to the public.

Impacts

  • Very strong winds may knock down trees, powerlines, blow roofs off some houses, and blow away anything not tied down outside. This is a risk to life.
  • Power, phones, internet and water might stop working. They could be out for a long time.
  • Heavy rain and storm surge may cause flooding in some places.
  • Roads could be blocked by fallen trees, powerlines or flood water.
  • Some places could become isolated.

 

What Should You Do?

  • Consider your risk of isolation and/or flooding.
  • Think about where you would evacuate to, this could be with family or friends in a safer location.
  • IF IT’S FLOODED FORGET IT! Your car can’t protect you from floodwater.

 

Prepare your home 

  • Store or tie down outside items like caravans, trailers, outdoor furniture, gas bottles, toys and play equipment.
  • Move outdoor furniture inside or if you have a pool, sink plastic outdoor furniture in the pool so it doesn’t fly around in strong winds.
  • Check for tree branches hanging over your roof. Cut them off if you can.
  • Make an emergency plan and kit.
  • For further information go to Get Ready Queensland website

​​​

Tourists and visitors, campers and caravanners 

  • Campers and caravanners should think about packing up now.
  • Visitors who do not need to stay in the area should plan to leave.
  • Leaving now is a safe option. Airports and highways could close if the cyclone gets closer.
  • If you choose to stay, ask accommodation staff where to shelter if the cyclone hits.

 

If you have a boat or jet-ski 

  • Prepare early. Remove your boat, jet-ski, canoes or kayaks from the water and store securely on land if possible.
  • If your boat is kept on the water, check your moorings and get ready now to relocate it to a safe mooring.
  • If your boat is in a marina, check-in with the marina manager.
  • Check your area’s Extreme Weather Contingency Plan on the  Maritime Safety Queensland website.

 

If you have livestock

  • Consider moving livestock to higher ground. You may need to open gates to other paddocks so animals can move to safety.
  • Block access to low-lying fields or other places near creeks and rivers.
  • Provide lots of food and clean water in a safe place away from creeks and rivers.
  • Make sure animals can be identified if they get lost. This may include brands or tags.
  • Prepare for isolation

More Information

  • Traffic information and closed roads, go to the QLD Traffic website or call 13 19 40.
  • Public transport information, go to the Translink website.
  • Listen to your local radio station: ABC Brisbane 612AM, 99.7FM, 101.5FM.
  • For emergency help in floods and storms, call the State Emergency Service on 132 500.

Essential Services

Domestic and Family Violence

Government Departments and Agencies

Voluntary and Not-For-Profit

National Relay Service (Hard Of Hearing)

If you are deaf, hard of hearing, or have a speech/communication difficulty, please contact the NRS by:

  1. Using your preferred NRS call channels detailed on the National Relay Service website.
  2. Providing the NRS with Council’s phone number, (07) 3205 0555.

Find out more information about the National Relay Service.

City Of Moreton Bay Updates

 

All waste facilities will close on Thursday 6th March 2025 and will re-open when safe to do so. There will also be no kerbside collection services on Thursday and Friday however, catchup services will be undertaken on impacted properties from next week when it is safe to do so.

Warning area: City of Moreton Bay Local Government Area
Warning Level: Watch & Act

City of Moreton Bay advises people in the low lying coastal areas to PREPARE NOW as Tropical Cyclone Alfred will cause a dangerous storm surge. Storm surge is a rise in sea level over and above the normal tide levels because of a cyclone. Storm surge is a threat to life and property.  

The Bureau of Meteorology advises A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE may occur along the coastal foreshore from Thursday afternoon. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the highest high tide mark with damaging waves and dangerous inundation of coastal low-lying areas. Higher than normal tides may occur from Wednesday.

For emergency help in floods and storms, call the QLD SES on 132 500 or download the SES Assistance QLD App. In life threatening situations, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. 

STAY INFORMED. Check the Bureau of Meteorology’s Queensland warnings summary at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/ or download the BOM Weather app to your device.

 

 

Share

Facebook
Twitter
LinkedIn
Pinterest
Tumblr
Email

Related...