Cyclone Alfred Emergency Information for Moreton Bay 06/03

Morning Forecast (Short) .. (8:59 am)

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(Updated 9:29 am Thursday)

Cyclone Alfred is currently stalling and meandering

We Will update these pages in real time as conditions or details change.

It is essential you play your role in planning for emergencies for your self, your family, property, pets and livestock.

Current Summary:

 

Major changes overnight Friday Morning structure movement timing and possible trajectories have all changed so to understand that this low level/surface circulation is very strong and healthy. That means Cyclone Alfred  is creating some serious wind. The strongest winds will be experienced now into Friday morning well ahead of landfall of the system. Landfall has been delayed further in this morning’s modelling with a slow and erratic motion of a weakening system expected near landfall. That means rain will become the primary threat overall on this system from Friday and into Saturday. Post Landfall the system should then slow initially before then accelerate inland away from SEQ on Saturday PM and Sunday.

Intensity: category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 95 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 130 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 27.2 degrees South, 155.3 degrees East , 225 kilometres east of Brisbane and 215 kilometres east northeast of Gold Coast .
Movement: west northwest at 6 kilometres per hour .

Tropical Cyclone Alfred is slowly moving towards the southeast Queensland coast.

Alfred is currently category 2 and is expected to remain of similar intensity until the centre starts to interact with the coast and islands. The centre of Alfred is expected to cross the coast Friday night or early Saturday morning,

Analysis:

The Cyclone will extend its strongest winds well ahead of its land fall and not as the cyclone makes landfall, and the system will produce its strongest amounts of rainfall after it makes landfall not before.

Another essential note the track map has delayed a land crossing until Friday late evening to Saturday Early Morning, from 4 am Thursday to 4  pm Saturday this means a further 36 hours will pass, that the cyclone will have traveled on 238 Kms before the effects of the cyclone will subside as it continues inland and degrading it self completely. This is a very very slow movement for this system.

This also means the biggest winds will be felt anywhere along the coast this morning to Friday Morning which will calm down then the rain will be dominant mostly to the south of the cyclone after landfall.

Now one caveat further stalling before landfall would weaken the system, and delay the landfall beyond Friday evening to early, early Saturday morning

 

Those category 2 winds will begin to affect Coolangatta and Surfers Paradise Thursday afternoon nothing will change for a couple/few hours while the rest of south east Queensland and inland and north to the sunshine coast will be a stiff breeze.

After the landfall Brisbane and further north will change from west/south wind to a North westerly first for Sunshine Coast then Kilcoy, Caboolture, Bribie Island, then Redcliffe and then Brisbane in that order. These winds will be strong to gusty.

For Northern NSW will experience up to 300 mm of rain Gold Coast 200 mm rain accumulated rains over 24-36 hours could conservatively be double those values.

After the cyclone makes landfall some where between Brisbane and the northern suburbs on Friday evening/night it will track north west and end up 12 hours later around Esk, while the centre of the ex cyclone crosses it will slow down to more 2-5 km/h and what follows will be strong to gusty to very gusty winds up to Category 1 winds  for Brisbane, Redcliffe, and Caboolture less strong again for Kilcoy. Those winds will gradually ease after on set from strong Gusty to Stiff Breezes.  Rain on Saturday mid to late morning will develop from Sunshine Coast down to Brisbane and last through to Sunday. rain will start to ease considerably as will the winds further ease on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.

Evacuation Centers

City of Moreton Bay

Caboolture Memorial Hall, Caboolture

Strathpine Community Centre, Strathpine

Hope Centre Moreton, Rothwell

Sunshine Coast

Caloundra Indoor Stadium, Golden Beach

Landsborough Sports Complex

Nambour Showgrounds

 

 

Essential Weather links so you stay in the know: (all links will open in a new tab)

City of Moreton Bay Disaster Dashboard

Tides at Bongaree

BOM Inland River Heights

BOM Hazardous Surf Conditions for South East Queensland

BOM TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE

BOM Marine Wind Warning Summary for Queensland

BOM Flood Warning Summary

BOM Flood Watch for South East Queensland

 

Stay Safe and connected Non Weather Related useful Links(all links will open in a new tab)

Queensland Police – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Policelink – Non urgent matters – Ring 131 444

Queensland Ambulance – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Queensland Fire – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Energex Power Outages

School Closures

SEQ Dam Releases

Queensland Traffic Camera’s

 

General Advise to the public.

Impacts

  • Very strong winds may knock down trees, powerlines, blow roofs off some houses, and blow away anything not tied down outside. This is a risk to life.
  • Power, phones, internet and water might stop working. They could be out for a long time.
  • Heavy rain and storm surge may cause flooding in some places.
  • Roads could be blocked by fallen trees, powerlines or flood water.
  • Some places could become isolated.

 

What Should You Do?

  • Consider your risk of isolation and/or flooding.
  • Think about where you would evacuate to, this could be with family or friends in a safer location.
  • IF IT’S FLOODED FORGET IT! Your car can’t protect you from floodwater.

 

Prepare your home 

  • Store or tie down outside items like caravans, trailers, outdoor furniture, gas bottles, toys and play equipment.
  • Move outdoor furniture inside or if you have a pool, sink plastic outdoor furniture in the pool so it doesn’t fly around in strong winds.
  • Check for tree branches hanging over your roof. Cut them off if you can.
  • Make an emergency plan and kit.
  • For further information go to Get Ready Queensland website

​​​

Tourists and visitors, campers and caravanners 

  • Campers and caravanners should think about packing up now.
  • Visitors who do not need to stay in the area should plan to leave.
  • Leaving now is a safe option. Airports and highways could close if the cyclone gets closer.
  • If you choose to stay, ask accommodation staff where to shelter if the cyclone hits.

 

If you have a boat or jet-ski 

  • Prepare early. Remove your boat, jet-ski, canoes or kayaks from the water and store securely on land if possible.
  • If your boat is kept on the water, check your moorings and get ready now to relocate it to a safe mooring.
  • If your boat is in a marina, check-in with the marina manager.
  • Check your area’s Extreme Weather Contingency Plan on the  Maritime Safety Queensland website.

 

If you have livestock

  • Consider moving livestock to higher ground. You may need to open gates to other paddocks so animals can move to safety.
  • Block access to low-lying fields or other places near creeks and rivers.
  • Provide lots of food and clean water in a safe place away from creeks and rivers.
  • Make sure animals can be identified if they get lost. This may include brands or tags.
  • Prepare for isolation

More Information

  • Traffic information and closed roads, go to the QLD Traffic website or call 13 19 40.
  • Public transport information, go to the Translink website.
  • Listen to your local radio station: ABC Brisbane 612AM, 99.7FM, 101.5FM.
  • For emergency help in floods and storms, call the State Emergency Service on 132 500.

Essential Services

Domestic and Family Violence

Government Departments and Agencies

Voluntary and Not-For-Profit

National Relay Service (Hard Of Hearing)

If you are deaf, hard of hearing, or have a speech/communication difficulty, please contact the NRS by:

  1. Using your preferred NRS call channels detailed on the National Relay Service website.
  2. Providing the NRS with Council’s phone number, (07) 3205 0555.

Find out more information about the National Relay Service.

City Of Moreton Bay Updates

 

All waste facilities will close on Thursday 6th March 2025 and will re-open when safe to do so. There will also be no kerbside collection services on Thursday and Friday however, catchup services will be undertaken on impacted properties from next week when it is safe to do so.

Warning area: City of Moreton Bay Local Government Area
Warning Level: Watch & Act

City of Moreton Bay advises people in the low lying coastal areas to PREPARE NOW as Tropical Cyclone Alfred will cause a dangerous storm surge. Storm surge is a rise in sea level over and above the normal tide levels because of a cyclone. Storm surge is a threat to life and property.  

The Bureau of Meteorology advises A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE may occur along the coastal foreshore from Thursday afternoon. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the highest high tide mark with damaging waves and dangerous inundation of coastal low-lying areas. Higher than normal tides may occur from Wednesday.

For emergency help in floods and storms, call the QLD SES on 132 500 or download the SES Assistance QLD App. In life threatening situations, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. 

STAY INFORMED. Check the Bureau of Meteorology’s Queensland warnings summary at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/ or download the BOM Weather app to your device.

 

Issued at 7:58 pm AEST Thursday 6 March 2025. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 23.

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