Cyclone Alfred Emergency Information for Moreton Bay 05/03

Morning Forecast (Short) .. (8:59 am)

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(Updated 9:51 am)

Cyclone Alfred is currently stalling and meandering

We Will update these pages in real time as conditions or details change.

It is essential you play your role in planning for emergencies for your self, your family, property, pets and livestock.

Current Summary:

Up to Thursday not a great deal of change in our weather.

Tropical Cyclone Alfred is moving west north west at 2-3 km/h in the Coral Sea.

Alfred is a category 2 cyclone.

The models are now showing several possibilities: (note the Ridge south of the cyclone is steering the Cyclone is now breaking down and will re-develop on Saturday driving, dry air in to the region.  This complicates the forecasting and there are too many variables (the Lack of steering by the lack of a strong ridge south of the cyclone and timing of events  so.

1) Alfred is expected to cross the coast late Thursday Night or early Friday morning as a Cat 1 or 2 and stall some 60 or so kilometres inland from the coast (this is now not a favored option)  2) The cyclone travels on Thursday  meanders stalls and where ever it stalls at night will likely park or travels 2-3 km/h  travels further north through Friday, opening a possible land crossing between Gympie and Brisbane sometime Saturday traveling at a very slow rate of less then 2-7 km/h and crossing weakening then then moving south west west south west in land This a 40% Chance  or 3)The cyclone travels on Thursday  meanders stalls and where ever it stalls at night will likely park or travels 2-3 km/h  travels further north through Friday and Saturday Grabbing some of moist coral Sea open channels, opening a possible land crossing between Wide Bay and Gympie/Sunshine Coast sometime Saturday or Sunday traveling at a very slow rate of less then 2-7 km/h and land fall could strengthening the cyclone land leading to more rain potential This a 30% Chance 4) the cyclone meanders the ridge the south rebuilds after breaking down Thursday night and draws southerly dry air flow destroying the cyclone and leaving just a weak low This a 30% Chance

In Summary Stalls on Land after crossing big rain however stalls off the coast  less rainfall and more wind

Stalling is the key for Thursday should the Cyclone experience stall of in excess of 6-12 or even 24 hours land fall will not happen on Late Thursday night or Friday Morning, rather  somewhere betweeen The Sunshine Coast and North of Brisbane while the cyclone does loopdyloops in the Coral Sea.

For now while we are in hiatus as to predictions The exposed areas south and south east  and east side of Bribie Island, Redcliffe, Moreton and North Stradbroke Gold coast and Hinterland and Northern NSW will feel the brunt of the gusty and sustained damaging winds. Inland Brisbane, Strathpine, Caboolture, will be some what insulated by both the land itself and from Moreton and North Stradbroke protecting us from full force of those winds.

Summary understand this because of subtle changing in both steering winds or lack of them in the upper levels and break down of the ridge to the south is causing these stalls how quickly a ridge redevelops  to the south will determine what happens next on Thursday, so all bets are back on the table in predictions for now.

 

Essential Weather links so you stay in the know: (all links will open in a new tab)

City of Moreton Bay Disaster Dashboard

Tides at Bongaree

BOM Inland River Heights

BOM Hazardous Surf Conditions for South East Queensland

BOM TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE

BOM Marine Wind Warning Summary for Queensland

BOM Flood Warning Summary

BOM Flood Watch for South East Queensland

 

Stay Safe and connected Non Weather Related useful Links(all links will open in a new tab)

Queensland Police – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Policelink – Non urgent matters – Ring 131 444

Queensland Ambulance – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Queensland Fire – Ring 000 (Triple Zero)

Energex Power Outages

School Closures

SEQ Dam Releases

 

General Advise to the public.

Impacts

  • Very strong winds may knock down trees, powerlines, blow roofs off some houses, and blow away anything not tied down outside. This is a risk to life.
  • Power, phones, internet and water might stop working. They could be out for a long time.
  • Heavy rain and storm surge may cause flooding in some places.
  • Roads could be blocked by fallen trees, powerlines or flood water.
  • Some places could become isolated.

 

What Should You Do?

  • Consider your risk of isolation and/or flooding.
  • Think about where you would evacuate to, this could be with family or friends in a safer location.
  • IF IT’S FLOODED FORGET IT! Your car can’t protect you from floodwater.

 

Prepare your home 

  • Store or tie down outside items like caravans, trailers, outdoor furniture, gas bottles, toys and play equipment.
  • Move outdoor furniture inside or if you have a pool, sink plastic outdoor furniture in the pool so it doesn’t fly around in strong winds.
  • Check for tree branches hanging over your roof. Cut them off if you can.
  • Make an emergency plan and kit.
  • For further information go to Get Ready Queensland website

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Tourists and visitors, campers and caravanners 

  • Campers and caravanners should think about packing up now.
  • Visitors who do not need to stay in the area should plan to leave.
  • Leaving now is a safe option. Airports and highways could close if the cyclone gets closer.
  • If you choose to stay, ask accommodation staff where to shelter if the cyclone hits.

 

If you have a boat or jet-ski 

  • Prepare early. Remove your boat, jet-ski, canoes or kayaks from the water and store securely on land if possible.
  • If your boat is kept on the water, check your moorings and get ready now to relocate it to a safe mooring.
  • If your boat is in a marina, check-in with the marina manager.
  • Check your area’s Extreme Weather Contingency Plan on the  Maritime Safety Queensland website.

 

If you have livestock

  • Consider moving livestock to higher ground. You may need to open gates to other paddocks so animals can move to safety.
  • Block access to low-lying fields or other places near creeks and rivers.
  • Provide lots of food and clean water in a safe place away from creeks and rivers.
  • Make sure animals can be identified if they get lost. This may include brands or tags.
  • Prepare for isolation

More Information

  • Traffic information and closed roads, go to the QLD Traffic website or call 13 19 40.
  • Public transport information, go to the Translink website.
  • Listen to your local radio station: ABC Brisbane 612AM, 99.7FM, 101.5FM.
  • For emergency help in floods and storms, call the State Emergency Service on 132 500.

Essential Services

Domestic and Family Violence

Government Departments and Agencies

Voluntary and Not-For-Profit

National Relay Service (Hard Of Hearing)

If you are deaf, hard of hearing, or have a speech/communication difficulty, please contact the NRS by:

  1. Using your preferred NRS call channels detailed on the National Relay Service website.
  2. Providing the NRS with Council’s phone number, (07) 3205 0555.

Find out more information about the National Relay Service.

City Of Moreton Bay Updates

 

All waste facilities will close on Thursday 6th March 2025 and will re-open when safe to do so. There will also be no kerbside collection services on Thursday and Friday however, catchup services will be undertaken on impacted properties from next week when it is safe to do so.

Warning area: City of Moreton Bay Local Government Area
Warning Level: Watch & Act

City of Moreton Bay advises people in the low lying coastal areas to PREPARE NOW as Tropical Cyclone Alfred will cause a dangerous storm surge. Storm surge is a rise in sea level over and above the normal tide levels because of a cyclone. Storm surge is a threat to life and property.  

The Bureau of Meteorology advises A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE may occur along the coastal foreshore from Thursday afternoon. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the highest high tide mark with damaging waves and dangerous inundation of coastal low-lying areas. Higher than normal tides may occur from Wednesday.

For emergency help in floods and storms, call the QLD SES on 132 500 or download the SES Assistance QLD App. In life threatening situations, call Triple Zero (000) immediately. 

STAY INFORMED. Check the Bureau of Meteorology’s Queensland warnings summary at http://www.bom.gov.au/qld/warnings/ or download the BOM Weather app to your device.

 

Issued at 4:53 am AEST Wednesday 5 March 2025. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 10.

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